gef-20211210
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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549 
FORM 8-K 
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d)
of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
December 10, 2021(December 8, 2021)
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)

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GREIF, INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-0056631-4388903
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

425 Winter RoadDelawareOhio43015
(Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (740549-6000
Not Applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)
 

    Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company

    If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.


Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of Each ClassTrading Symbol(s)Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered
Class A Common StockGEFNew York Stock Exchange
Class B Common StockGEF-BNew York Stock Exchange
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
 
    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))


Section 2 – Financial Information

Item 2.02.    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On December 8, 2021, Greif, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Earnings Release”) announcing the financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year ended October 31, 2021. The full text of the Earnings Release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
The Earnings Release included the following non-GAAP financial measures (the “non-GAAP Measures”):
 
(i)the Company's net income, excluding the impact of adjustments, for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, which is equal to the Company's consolidated net income for the applicable period plus restructuring charges, plus acquisition and integration related costs, plus non-cash asset impairment charges, plus pension settlement charges, plus incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus gain on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses net, each net of tax, noncontrolling interest and equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates and on a consolidated basis for the applicable period;
(ii)the Company's earnings per diluted Class A share, excluding the impact of adjustments, for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, which is equal to the Company's consolidated net income for the applicable period plus restructuring charges, plus acquisition and integration related costs, plus non-cash asset impairment charges, plus pension settlement charges, plus incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus gain on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses net, each net of tax, noncontrolling interest and equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates and on a consolidated basis for the applicable period;
(iii)the Company's consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, which is equal to the Company's consolidated net income for the applicable period plus interest expense, net, plus income tax expense, plus depreciation, depletion and amortization expense, plus restructuring charges, plus acquisition and integration related costs, plus non-cash asset impairment charges, plus non-cash pension settlement charges, plus incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus (gain) loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net, each on a consolidated basis for the applicable period;
(iv)the Company's consolidated adjusted free cash flow for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, which is equal to the Company's consolidated net cash provided by operating activities for the applicable period, less cash paid for purchases of properties, plants and equipment, plus cash paid for acquisition and integration related costs, plus cash paid for incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus cash paid for acquisition and integration related Enterprise Resource Planning ("ERP") systems, each on a consolidated basis for the applicable period;
(v)the Company's net income, excluding the impact of adjustments, for the fiscal year of 2021 and the fiscal year of 2020, which is equal to the Company's consolidated net income for the applicable period plus restructuring charges, plus acquisition and integration related costs, plus non-cash asset impairment charges, plus pension settlement charges, plus incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus (gain) loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses net, less timberland gains, net, each net of tax, noncontrolling interest and equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates and on a consolidated basis for the applicable period;
(vi)the Company's earnings per diluted Class A share, excluding the impact of adjustments, for the fiscal year of 2021 and the fiscal year of 2020, which is equal to the Company's consolidated net income for the applicable period plus restructuring charges, plus acquisition and integration related costs, plus non-cash asset impairment charges, plus pension settlement charges, plus incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus (gain) loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses net, less timberland gains, net, each net of tax, noncontrolling interest and equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates and on a consolidated basis for the applicable period;
(vii)the Company's consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal year of 2021 and the fiscal year of 2020, which is equal to the Company's consolidated net income for the applicable period plus interest expense, net, plus income tax expense, plus depreciation, depletion and amortization expense, plus restructuring charges, plus acquisition and integration related costs, plus non-cash asset impairment charges, plus non-cash pension settlement charges, plus incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus (gain) loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net, less timberland gains, net each on a consolidated basis for the applicable period;
(viii)the Company's consolidated adjusted free cash flow for the fiscal year of 2021 and the fiscal year of 2020, which is equal to the Company's consolidated net cash provided by operating activities for the applicable period, less cash paid for purchases of properties, plants and equipment, plus cash paid for acquisition and integration related costs, plus


cash paid for incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus cash paid for acquisition and integration related Enterprise Resource Planning ("ERP") systems, each on a consolidated basis for the applicable period;
(ix)the Company's net debt for the fourth and third quarters of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, which is equal to the Company's consolidated total debt at the end of the applicable period ended less cash and cash equivalents at the end of the applicable period ended.
(x)the Company's leverage ratio for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, which is equal to net debt divided by trailing twelve month EBITDA, each as calculated under the terms of the Company's Amended and Restated Credit Agreement dated as of February 11, 2019, filed as Exhibit 10.1 on Form 8-K/A on March 26, 2020.
(xi)net sales excluding foreign currency translation for the Company's Global Industrial Packaging business segment for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, which is equal to that business segment's net sales for the applicable quarter, after adjusting such sales for the fourth quarter of 2021 for foreign currency translation;
(xii)adjusted EBITDA for the Company’s Global Industrial Packaging business segment for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, which is equal to that business segment’s operating profit less other expense (income), net, less non-cash pension settlement charges, less equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates, net of tax, plus depreciation and amortization expense, plus restructuring charges, plus non-cash asset impairment charges, plus non-cash pension settlement charges, plus incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus loss (gain) on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net, each for the applicable period;
(xiii)net sales excluding foreign currency translation for the Company's Paper Packaging & Services business segment for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, which is equal to that business segment's net sales for the applicable quarter, after adjusting such sales for the fourth quarter of 2021 for foreign currency translation;
(xiv)adjusted EBITDA for the Company’s Paper Packaging & Services business segment for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, which is equal to that business segment’s operating profit less other expense (income), net, less non-cash pension settlement charges (income), plus depreciation and amortization expense, plus restructuring charges, plus acquisition and integration related costs, plus non-cash asset impairment charges, plus non-cash pension settlement charges (income), plus incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus (gain) loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net, each for the applicable period;
(xv)adjusted EBITDA for the Company’s Land Management business segment for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, which is equal to that business segment’s operating profit plus depreciation, depletion and amortization expense, plus restructuring charges, plus non-cash asset impairment charges, plus gain on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net, each for the applicable period.

The Earnings Release also included the following forward-looking non-GAAP measures:
(i)the Company's fiscal 2022 Class A earnings per share before adjustments guidance, which is equal to earnings per diluted Class A share of the Company for such period plus restructuring charges, plus acquisition and integration related costs, plus non-cash asset impairment charges, plus pension settlement charges, plus gain on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses net, each net of tax, noncontrolling interest and equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates and on a consolidated basis for the applicable period.
(ii)the Company's fiscal year 2022 projected adjusted free cash flow guidance, which is equal to the Company's consolidated net cash provided by operating activities for such period, less cash paid for purchases of properties, plants and equipment, plus cash paid for acquisition and integration related costs, plus cash paid for incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus cash paid for acquisition and integration related ERP systems for such period. A reconciliation of this forward-looking non-GAAP financial measure was included in the Earnings Release.
No reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measure to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure for item (i) was included in the Earnings Release because, due to the high variability and difficulty in making accurate forecasts and projections of some of the excluded information, together with some of the excluded information not being ascertainable or accessible, the Company is unable to quantify certain amounts that would be required to be included in the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure without unreasonable efforts.
Management of the Company uses the non-GAAP Measures to evaluate ongoing operations and believes that these non-GAAP Measures are useful to investors. The exclusion of the impact of the identified adjustments (restructuring charges, acquisition and integration related costs, non-cash asset impairment charges, pension settlement charges, gain on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses net) enable management and investors to perform meaningful comparisons of current and historical performance of the Company. Management of the Company also believes that the exclusion of the impact of the identified adjustments provides a stable platform on which to compare the historical performance of the Company and that


investors desire this information. Management believes that the use of consolidated adjusted free cash flow, which excludes cash paid for purchases of properties, plants and equipment, cash paid for acquisition and integration related costs, cash paid for incremental COVID-19 costs, net, and cash paid for acquisition and integration related ERP systems from the Company's consolidated net cash provided by operating activities, provides additional information on which to evaluate the cash flow generated by the Company and believes that this is information that investors find valuable. The non-GAAP Measures are intended to supplement and should be read together with our financial results. The non-GAAP Measures should not be considered an alternative or substitute for, and should not be considered superior to, our reported financial results. Accordingly, users of this financial information should not place undue reliance on the non-GAAP Measures.

Section 7 – Regulation FD

Item 7.01.    Regulation FD Disclosure.
On December 9, 2021, management of the Company held a conference call with interested investors and financial analysts (the “Conference Call”) to discuss the Company’s financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year ended October 31, 2021. The file transcript of the Conference Call, including a correction related to historical free cash flow figures on page 4, is attached as Exhibit 99.2 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.

Section 9 – Financial Statements and Exhibits

Item 9.01.    Financial Statements and Exhibits.
 
(d)Exhibits.
Exhibit No.Description
Press release issued by Greif, Inc. on December 8, 2021 announcing the financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year ended October 31, 2021.
File transcript of conference call with interested investors and financial analysts held by management of Greif, Inc. on December 9, 2021.

SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
 
GREIF, INC.
Date: December 10, 2021By/s/ Lawrence A. Hilsheimer
Lawrence A. Hilsheimer,
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer


Document
Exhibit 99.1


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                Greif Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2021 Results
DELAWARE, Ohio (December 8, 2021) – Greif, Inc. (NYSE: GEF, GEF.B), a world leader in industrial packaging products and services, today announced fourth quarter and fiscal 2021 results.
Fourth Quarter Results Include (all results compared to the fourth quarter 2020 unless otherwise noted)(1):
Net income of $104.5 million or $1.74 per diluted Class A share compared to net income of $44.4 million or $0.74 per diluted Class A share. Net income, excluding the impact of adjustments(2), of $115.4 million or $1.93 per diluted Class A share compared to net income, excluding the impact of adjustments, of $46.4 million or $0.78 per diluted Class A share. Adjusted EBITDA(3) increased by $56.8 million to $211.3 million.
Net cash provided by operating activities decreased by $63.1 million to $137.3 million. Adjusted free cash flow(4) decreased by $79.1 million to $94.8 million primarily as a result of inflationary raw material costs.
Total debt decreased by $261.4 million to $2,225.6 million. Net debt(5) decreased by $280.1 million to $2,101.0 million and decreased by $66.8 million sequentially from the third quarter of 2021. The Company's leverage ratio(6) decreased to 2.49x compared to 3.66x, within our targeted leverage ratio range of 2.0x - 2.5x.
Fiscal Year Results Include (all results compared to the fiscal year 2020 unless otherwise noted):
Net income of $390.7 million or $6.54 per diluted Class A share compared to net income of $108.8 million or $1.83 per diluted Class A share. Net income, excluding the impact of adjustments, of $334.5 million or $5.60 per diluted Class A share compared to net income, excluding the impact of adjustments, of $190.9 million or $3.22 per diluted Class A share. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $121.6 million to $764.2 million.
Net cash provided by operating activities decreased by $58.7 million to $396.0 million. Adjusted free cash flow decreased by $72.1 million to $274.1 million.
The Company paid $105.8 million in cash dividends to stockholders in fiscal 2021.
Announcement:
Named to Newsweek's Most Loved Workplaces list for 2021, ranking number 59 among the top 100 companies recognized for colleague happiness and satisfaction at work.


Pete Watson, Greif's President and Chief Executive Officer, commented:

“The global Greif team delivered exceptional results in fiscal 2021 and overcame significant external challenges to deliver record net sales and profits for the full fiscal year,” said Pete Watson, Greif’s President and Chief Executive Officer. “In addition, we advanced our financial priorities, increasing our dividend and reaching our targeted leverage ratio range, while making notable progress on our ESG journey. Looking ahead, we remain well positioned to provide differentiated packaging solutions that generate value for our customers and shareholders.”



Exhibit 99.1


(1) As previously reported, during the first quarter of 2021, the former Rigid Industrial Packaging & Services and Flexible Products & Services segments were combined into a single reportable segment now known as the Global Industrial Packaging segment. On February 24, 2021 the Company filed a Current Report on Form 8-K with the SEC to furnish certain historical GAAP and non-GAAP financial information in a revised presentation aligned with the Company's new reportable segment structure.    
(2)    Adjustments that are excluded from net income before adjustments and from earnings per diluted Class A share before adjustments are restructuring charges, acquisition and integration related costs, non-cash asset impairment charges, non-cash pension settlement charges, incremental COVID-19 costs, net, (gain) loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net and timberland gains, net.
(3)     Adjusted EBITDA is defined as net income, plus interest expense, net, plus income tax expense, plus depreciation, depletion and amortization expense, plus restructuring charges, plus acquisition and integration related costs, plus non-cash asset impairment charges, plus non-cash pension settlement charges, plus incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus (gain) loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net, less timberland gains, net.
(4)    Adjusted free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities, less cash paid for purchases of properties, plants and equipment, plus cash paid for acquisition and integration related costs, plus cash paid for incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus cash paid for acquisition and integration related Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) systems.
(5)    Net debt is defined as total debt less cash and cash equivalents.
(6)    Leverage ratio is defined as trailing twelve month EBITDA divided by net debt, each as calculated under the terms of the Company's Amended and Restated Credit Agreement dated as of February 11, 2019, filed as Exhibit 10.1 on Form 8-K/A on March 26, 2020 (the "2019 Credit Agreement").

Note: A reconciliation of the differences between all non-GAAP financial measures used in this release with the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures is included in the financial schedules that are a part of this release. These non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement and should be read together with our financial results. They should not be considered an alternative or substitute for, and should not be considered superior to, our reported financial results. Accordingly, users of this financial information should not place undue reliance on these non-GAAP financial measures.


Exhibit 99.1

Customer Service
The Company's consolidated CSI(7) score was 93.1 during the fourth quarter 2021 and was 93.2 on a trailing four quarter basis. Our long term objective is for each business segment to achieve a CSI score of 95.0 or greater.

CSI for the Global Industrial Packaging and Paper Packaging & Services segment were both approximately flat to the prior year quarter at 94.2 and 91.8, respectively.
In addition we completed our eleventh NPS(8) survey and achieved a score of 60.0 which represents a 7.0 point decline from our wave ten results. Detailed analysis of customer comments from wave eleven indicate the decline was largely due to poor communication about late customer deliveries caused by factors beyond our control within the supply chain. The Company is currently taking focused actions to enhance communications to better assist customers with order delivery planning.
Segment Results (all results compared to the fourth quarter of 2020 unless otherwise noted)
Net sales are impacted mainly by the volume of primary products(9) sold, selling prices, product mix and the impact of changes in foreign currencies against the U.S. Dollar. The table below shows the percentage impact of each of these items on net sales for our primary products for the fourth quarter of 2021 as compared to the prior year quarter for the business segments with manufacturing operations.

Net Sales Impact - Primary ProductsGlobal Industrial PackagingPaper Packaging &
Services
%%
Currency Translation1.0 %0.1 %
Volume2.7 %1.5 %
Selling Prices and Product Mix44.7 %20.0 %
Total Impact of Primary Products48.4 %21.6 %

Global Industrial Packaging
Net sales increased by $299.3 million to $951.6 million. Net sales excluding foreign currency translation increased by $292.0 million due primarily due to higher volumes and higher average sale prices.

Gross profit increased by $53.5 million to $184.3 million. The change in gross profit was primarily due to the same factors that impacted net sales, partially offset by higher raw material, manufacturing and transportation costs.

Operating profit increased by $38.9 million to $97.8 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $47.3 million to $121.4 million primarily due to the same factors that impacted gross profit.

Paper Packaging & Services
Net sales increased by $119.4 million to $621.7 million primarily due to higher volumes and higher published containerboard and boxboard prices.

Gross profit increased by $11.0 million to $109.8 million. The change in gross profit was primarily due to the same factors that impacted net sales, partially offset by higher raw material, manufacturing and transportation costs.

Operating profit increased by $11.2 million to $41.9 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $10.3 million to $87.7 million primarily due to the same factors that impacted gross profit.

Land Management
Net sales decreased by $1.8 million to $4.9 million due primarily to reduced timber available for sale as a result of acreage sold in the second quarter.
Operating profit decreased by $0.4 million to $1.8 million. Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $0.8 million to $2.2 million.
Tax Summary
3

Exhibit 99.1

During the fourth quarter, the Company recorded an income tax rate of 10.7 percent and a tax rate excluding the impact of adjustments of 11.3 percent. As previously disclosed, the application of FIN 18 often causes fluctuations in our quarterly effective tax rates. For the full year, the Company recorded an income tax rate of 14.5 percent and a tax rate excluding the impact of adjustments of 18.1 percent. 
Dividend Summary
On December 7, 2021, the Board of Directors declared quarterly cash dividends of $0.46 per share of Class A Common Stock and $0.68 per share of Class B Common Stock. Dividends are payable on January 1, 2022, to stockholders of record at the close of business on December 17, 2021.
Company Outlook
(in millions, except per share amounts)Fiscal 2022 Outlook
Class A earnings per share before adjustments$5.85 - $6.45
Adjusted free cash flow$400 - $460

Note: Fiscal 2022 Class A earnings per share guidance on a GAAP basis is not provided in this release due to the potential for one or more of the following, the timing and magnitude of which we are unable to reliably forecast: gains or losses on the disposal of businesses, timberland or properties, plants and equipment, net; non-cash asset impairment charges due to unanticipated changes in the business; restructuring-related activities; non-cash pension settlement (income) charges; or acquisition and integration related costs, and the income tax effects of these items and other income tax-related events. No reconciliation of the fiscal 2022 Class A earnings per share before adjustments guidance, a non-GAAP financial measure which excludes restructuring charges, acquisition and integration related costs, non-cash asset impairment charges, non-cash pension settlement charges, (gain) loss on the disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net and timberland gains, net, is included in this release because, due to the high variability and difficulty in making accurate forecasts and projections of some of the excluded information, together with some of the excluded information not being ascertainable or accessible, we are unable to quantify certain amounts that would be required to be included in the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure without unreasonable efforts. A reconciliation of 2022 adjusted free cash flow guidance to forecasted net cash provided by operating activities, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, is included in this release.


(7)    Customer satisfaction index (CSI) tracks a variety of internal metrics designed to enhance the customer experience in dealing with Greif.
(8)    Net Promoter Score (NPS) is derived from a survey conducted by a third party that measures how likely a customer is to recommend Greif as a business partner. NPS scores are calculated by subtracting the percentage of detractors a business has from the percentage of its promoters.
(9)    Primary products are manufactured steel, plastic and fibre drums; new and reconditioned intermediate bulk containers; linerboard, containerboard, corrugated sheets and corrugated containers, boxboard and tube and core products; and 1&2 loop and 4 loop flexible intermediate bulk containers.
4

Exhibit 99.1

Conference Call
The Company will host a conference call to discuss the fourth quarter of 2021 results on December 9, 2021, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time (ET). Participants may access the call using the following online registration link: https://conferencingportals.com/event/BDwosPDa. Registrants will receive a confirmation email containing dial in details and a unique conference call code for entry. Phone lines will open at 8:00 a.m. ET on December 9, 2021. A digital replay of the conference call will be available two hours following the call on the company's web site at http://investor.greif.com. To access the recording, guests can call (800) 770-2030 or (647) 362-9199 and use conference ID 32605.

About Greif
Greif is a global leader in industrial packaging products and services and is pursuing its vision: in industrial packaging, be the best performing customer service company in the world. The Company produces steel, plastic and fibre drums, intermediate bulk containers, reconditioned containers, flexible products, containerboard, uncoated recycled paperboard, coated recycled paperboard, tubes and cores and a diverse mix of specialty products. The Company also manufactures packaging accessories and provides filling, packaging and other services for a wide range of industries. In addition, Greif manages timber properties in the southeastern United States. The Company is strategically positioned in 40 countries to serve global as well as regional customers. Additional information is on the Company's website at www.greif.com.

Forward-Looking Statements
This release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The words “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “aspiration,” “objective,” “project,” “believe,” “continue,” “on track” or “target” or the negative thereof and similar expressions, among others, identify forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, expectations and other information currently available to management. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from those forecasted, projected or anticipated, whether expressed or implied. The most significant of these risks and uncertainties are described in Part I of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2021. The Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.
Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in forward-looking statements have a reasonable basis, the Company can give no assurance that these expectations will prove to be correct. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from those forecasted, projected or anticipated, whether expressed in or implied by the statements. Such risks and uncertainties that might cause a difference include, but are not limited to, the following: (i) historically, our business has been sensitive to changes in general economic or business conditions, (ii) our global operations subject us to political risks, instability and currency exchange that could adversely affect our results of operations, (iii) the COVID-19 pandemic could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows, (iv) the current and future challenging global economy and disruption and volatility of the financial and credit markets may adversely affect our business, (v) the continuing consolidation of our customer base and suppliers may intensify pricing pressure, (vi) we operate in highly competitive industries, (vii) our business is sensitive to changes in industry demands and customer preferences, (viii) raw material, energy and transportation price fluctuations and shortages may adversely impact our manufacturing operations and costs, (ix) the frequency and volume of our timber and timberland sales will impact our financial performance, (x) we may not successfully implement our business strategies, including achieving our growth objectives, (xi) we may encounter difficulties or liabilities arising from acquisitions or divestitures, (xii) we may incur additional restructuring costs and there is no guarantee that our efforts to reduce costs will be successful, (xiii) several operations are conducted by joint ventures that we cannot operate solely for our benefit, (xiv) certain of the agreements that govern our joint ventures provide our partners with put or call options, (xv) our ability to attract, develop and retain talented and qualified employees, managers and executives is critical to our success, (xvi) our business may be adversely impacted by work stoppages and other labor relations matters, (xvii) we may be subject to losses that might not be covered in whole or in part by existing insurance reserves or insurance coverage and general insurance premium and deductible increases, (xiii) our business depends on the uninterrupted operations of our facilities, systems and business functions, including our information technology and other business systems, (xix) a security breach of customer, employee, supplier or Company information and data privacy risks and costs of compliance with new regulations may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows, (xx) changes in U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and SEC rules and regulations concerning the maintenance of effective internal controls could materially impact our reported financial results, (xxi) we could be subject to changes to our tax rates, the adoption of new U.S. or foreign tax legislation or exposure to additional tax liabilities, (xxii) full realization of our deferred tax assets may be affected by a number of factors, (xxiii) our level of indebtedness could adversely affect our liquidity, limit our flexibility in responding to business opportunities, and increase our vulnerability to adverse changes in economic and industry conditions, (xxiv) we have a significant amount of goodwill and long-lived assets which, if impaired in the future, would adversely impact our results of
5

Exhibit 99.1

operations, (xxv) our pension and postretirement plans are underfunded and will require future cash contributions and our required future cash contributions could be higher than we expect, each of which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and liquidity, (xxvi) legislation/regulation related to environmental and health and safety matters and corporate social responsibility could negatively impact our operations and financial performance, (xxvii) product liability claims and other legal proceedings could adversely affect our operations and financial performance, (xxiii) we may incur fines or penalties, damage to our reputation or other adverse consequences if our employees, agents or business partners violate, or are alleged to have violated, anti-bribery, competition or other laws, (xxix) changing climate, global climate change regulations and greenhouse gas effects may adversely affect our operations and financial performance, (xxx) we may be unable to achieve out greenhouse gas emission reduction targets by 2030. The risks described above are not all-inclusive, and given these and other possible risks and uncertainties, investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements as a prediction of actual results. For a detailed discussion of the most significant risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those forecasted, projected or anticipated, see “Risk Factors” in Part I, Item 1A of our most recently filed Form 10-K and our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All forward-looking statements made in this news release are expressly qualified in their entirety by reference to such risk factors. Except to the limited extent required by applicable law, we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.


6

Exhibit 99.1

GREIF, INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
UNAUDITED
Three Months Ended
October 31,
Twelve Months Ended
October 31,
(in millions, except per share amounts)2021202020212020
Net sales$1,578.2 $1,161.3 $5,556.1 $4,515.0 
Cost of products sold1,282.1 929.6 4,463.1 3,600.3 
Gross profit296.1 231.7 1,093.0 914.7 
Selling, general and administrative expenses142.2 139.1 565.9 516.0 
Restructuring charges4.3 11.9 23.1 38.7 
Acquisition and integration related costs2.9 3.5 9.1 17.0 
Non-cash asset impairment charges7.4 1.6 8.9 18.5 
Gain on disposal of properties, plants and equipment, net(2.4)(17.1)(3.7)(19.2)
Loss on disposal of businesses, net0.2 0.9 0.2 38.8 
Timberland gains, net— — (95.7)— 
Operating profit141.5 91.8 585.2 304.9 
Interest expense, net16.9 26.0 92.7 115.8 
Non-cash pension settlement charges0.1 0.4 9.1 0.3 
Other expense (income), net2.6 (0.8)4.8 2.7 
Income before income tax expense and equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates, net121.9 66.2 478.6 186.1 
Income tax expense13.1 18.5 69.6 63.3 
Equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates, net of tax(1.1)(0.3)(4.2)(1.5)
Net income109.9 48.0 413.2 124.3 
Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests(5.4)(3.6)(22.5)(15.5)
Net income attributable to Greif, Inc.$104.5 $44.4 $390.7 $108.8 
Basic earnings per share attributable to Greif, Inc. common shareholders:
Class A common stock$1.76 $0.74 $6.57 $1.83 
Class B common stock$2.63 $1.12 $9.84 $2.74 
Diluted earnings per share attributable to Greif, Inc. common shareholders:
Class A common stock$1.74 $0.74 $6.54 $1.83 
Class B common stock$2.63 $1.12 $9.84 $2.74 
Shares used to calculate basic earnings per share attributable to Greif, Inc. common shareholders:
Class A common stock26.6 26.4 26.5 26.4 
Class B common stock22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 
Shares used to calculate diluted earnings per share attributable to Greif, Inc. common shareholders:
Class A common stock26.7 26.5 26.7 26.4 
Class B common stock22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 
    
7

Exhibit 99.1

GREIF, INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
UNAUDITED
(in millions)October 31, 2021October 31, 2020
ASSETS
CURRENT ASSETS
Cash and cash equivalents$124.6 $105.9 
Trade accounts receivable889.5 636.6 
Inventories499.2 293.6 
Assets held by special purpose entities— 50.9 
Other current assets150.8 215.8 
1,664.1 1,302.8 
LONG-TERM ASSETS
Goodwill1,515.4 1,518.4 
Intangible assets648.4 715.3 
Operating lease assets289.4 307.5 
Other long-term assets177.3 140.0 
2,630.5 2,681.2 
PROPERTIES, PLANTS AND EQUIPMENT1,521.2 1,526.9 
$5,815.8 $5,510.9 
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
CURRENT LIABILITIES
Accounts payable$704.5 $450.7 
Short-term borrowings50.5 28.4 
Current portion of long-term debt120.3 123.1 
Current portion of operating lease liabilities54.0 52.3 
Current portion of liabilities held by special purpose entities— 43.3 
Other current liabilities384.8 302.3 
1,314.1 1,000.1 
LONG-TERM LIABILITIES
Long-term debt2,054.8 2,335.5 
Operating lease liabilities239.5 257.7 
Other long-term liabilities607.7 696.9 
2,902.0 3,290.1 
REDEEMABLE NONCONTROLLING INTERESTS24.1 20.0 
EQUITY
Total Greif, Inc. equity 1,514.3 1,152.2 
Noncontrolling interests61.3 48.5 
1,575.6 1,200.7 
$5,815.8 $5,510.9 

8

Exhibit 99.1

GREIF, INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
UNAUDITED
Three Months Ended
October 31,
Twelve Months Ended
October 31,
(in millions)2021202020212020
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES:
Net income$109.9 $48.0 $413.2 $124.3 
Depreciation, depletion and amortization58.2 60.1 234.4 242.5 
Asset impairments7.4 1.6 8.9 18.5 
Pension settlement charges0.1 0.4 9.1 0.3 
Timberland gains, net— — (95.7)— 
Deferred income tax expense(5.6)22.0 (47.2)16.7 
Other non-cash adjustments to net income(1.2)(7.0)35.1 69.8 
Operating working capital changes(83.9)43.3 (222.7)56.1 
Increase (decrease) in cash from changes in other assets and liabilities52.4 32.0 60.9 (73.5)
Net cash provided by operating activities137.3 200.4 396.0 454.7 
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES:
Purchases of properties, plants and equipment(46.5)(32.6)(140.7)(131.4)
Purchases of and investments in timber properties0.8 (1.4)(6.6)(5.4)
Proceeds on the sale of timberlands, net— — 145.1 — 
Collections of receivables held in special purpose entities— — 50.9 — 
Payments for issuance of loans receivable— — (15.0)— 
Proceeds from the sale of properties, plants and equipment and businesses6.4 23.6 18.9 114.3 
Other(0.1)— (5.8)(2.7)
Net cash used in investing activities(39.4)(10.4)46.8 (25.2)
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES:
Payments on long-term debt, net(40.8)(152.3)(266.0)(287.6)
Dividends paid to Greif, Inc. shareholders(27.4)(26.1)(105.8)(104.3)
Payments for liabilities held in special purpose entities— — (43.3)— 
Other(0.6)(1.3)(7.8)(13.4)
Net cash provided by (used for) financing activities(68.8)(179.7)(422.9)(405.3)
Reclassification of cash to assets held for sale0.5 — 0.5 — 
Effects of exchange rates on cash(4.8)(2.9)(1.7)4.4 
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents24.8 7.4 18.7 28.6 
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period99.8 98.5 105.9 77.3 
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period$124.6 $105.9 $124.6 $105.9 

9

Exhibit 99.1

GREIF, INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS BY SEGMENT
UNAUDITED
 Three Months Ended
October 31,
Twelve Months Ended
October 31,
(in millions)2021202020212020
Net sales:
Global Industrial Packaging$951.6 $652.3 $3,316.7 $2,571.8 
Paper Packaging & Services621.7 502.3 2,218.4 1,916.9 
Land Management4.9 6.7 21.0 26.3 
Total net sales$1,578.2 $1,161.3 $5,556.1 $4,515.0 
Gross profit:
Global Industrial Packaging$184.3 $130.8 $684.1 $522.8 
Paper Packaging & Services109.8 98.8 401.3 382.7 
Land Management2.0 2.1 7.6 9.2 
Total gross profit$296.1 $231.7 $1,093.0 $914.7 
Operating profit:
Global Industrial Packaging$97.8 $58.9 $350.2 $225.4 
Paper Packaging & Services41.9 30.7 131.0 71.0 
Land Management1.8 2.2 104.0 8.5 
Total operating profit$141.5 $91.8 $585.2 $304.9 
EBITDA(10):
Global Industrial Packaging$116.8 $80.5 $432.7 $307.0 
Paper Packaging & Services78.8 68.5 269.9 225.9 
Land Management2.5 3.6 107.3 13.0 
Total EBITDA$198.1 $152.6 $809.9 $545.9 
Adjusted EBITDA(11):
Global Industrial Packaging$121.4 $74.1 $453.3 $324.3 
Paper Packaging & Services87.7 77.4 302.0 306.4 
Land Management2.2 3.0 8.9 11.9 
Total Adjusted EBITDA$211.3 $154.5 $764.2 $642.6 
(10) EBITDA is defined as net income, plus interest expense, net, plus income tax expense, plus depreciation, depletion and amortization. However, because the Company does not calculate net income by segment, this table calculates EBITDA by segment with reference to operating profit by segment, which, as demonstrated in the table of Consolidated EBITDA, is another method to achieve the same result. See the reconciliations in the table of Segment EBITDA.
(11) Adjusted EBITDA is defined as net income, plus interest expense, net, plus income tax expense, plus depreciation, depletion and amortization expense, plus restructuring charges, plus acquisition and integration related costs, plus non-cash impairment charges, plus non-cash pension settlement charges, plus incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus gain (loss) on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net, less timberland gains, net.
10

Exhibit 99.1

GREIF, INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATION
CONSOLIDATED ADJUSTED EBITDA
UNAUDITED
 Three Months Ended
October 31,
Twelve Months Ended
October 31,
(in millions)2021202020212020
Net income$109.9 $48.0 $413.2 $124.3 
Plus: Interest expense, net16.9 26.0 92.7 115.8 
Plus: Income tax expense13.1 18.5 69.6 63.3 
Plus: Depreciation, depletion and amortization expense58.2 60.1 234.4 242.5 
EBITDA$198.1 $152.6 $809.9 $545.9 
Net income$109.9 $48.0 $413.2 $124.3 
Plus: Interest expense, net16.9 26.0 92.7 115.8 
Plus: Income tax expense13.1 18.5 69.6 63.3 
Plus: Other expense (income), net2.6 (0.8)4.8 2.7 
Plus: Non-cash pension settlement charges0.1 0.4 9.1 0.3 
Plus: Equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates, net of tax(1.1)(0.3)(4.2)(1.5)
Operating profit141.5 91.8 585.2 304.9 
Less: Other expense (income), net2.6 (0.8)4.8 2.7 
Less: Non-cash pension settlement charges0.1 0.4 9.1 0.3 
Less: Equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates, net of tax(1.1)(0.3)(4.2)(1.5)
Plus: Depreciation, depletion and amortization expense58.2 60.1 234.4 242.5 
EBITDA$198.1 $152.6 $809.9 $545.9 
Plus: Restructuring charges$4.3 $11.9 $23.1 $38.7 
Plus: Acquisition and integration related costs2.9 3.5 9.1 17.0 
Plus: Non-cash asset impairment charges7.4 1.6 8.9 18.5 
Plus: Non-cash pension settlement charges0.1 0.4 9.1 0.3 
Plus: Incremental COVID-19 costs, net(12)
0.7 0.7 3.3 2.6 
Plus: (Gain) loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment, and businesses, net(2.2)(16.2)(3.5)19.6 
Less: Timberland gains, net— — 95.7 — 
Adjusted EBITDA$211.3 $154.5 $764.2 $642.6 
(12) Incremental COVID-19 costs, net includes costs directly attributable to COVID-19 such as costs incurred for incremental cleaning and sanitation efforts and employee safety measures, offset by economic relief received from foreign governments.
11

Exhibit 99.1

GREIF, INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATION
SEGMENT ADJUSTED EBITDA(13)
UNAUDITED
 Three Months Ended
October 31,
Twelve Months Ended
October 31,
(in millions)2021202020212020
Global Industrial Packaging
Operating profit$97.8 $58.9 $350.2 $225.4 
Less: Other expense (income), net2.4 (0.7)4.5 4.0 
Less: Non-cash pension settlement charges— 0.4 0.3 0.4 
Less: Equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates, net of tax(1.1)(0.3)(4.2)(1.5)
Plus: Depreciation and amortization expense20.3 21.0 83.1 84.5 
EBITDA$116.8 $80.5 $432.7 $307.0 
Plus: Restructuring charges2.5 8.1 17.1 28.8 
Plus: Non-cash asset impairment charges1.2 1.5 2.7 6.0 
Plus: Non-cash pension settlement charges— 0.4 0.3 0.4 
Plus: Incremental COVID-19 costs, net
0.5 0.1 1.8 0.7 
Plus: Loss (gain) on disposal of properties, plants, equipment, and businesses, net0.4 (16.6)(1.3)(18.6)
Adjusted EBITDA$121.4 $74.0 $453.3 $324.3 
Paper Packaging & Services
Operating profit$41.9 $30.7 $131.0 $71.0 
Less: Other expense (income), net0.2 (0.1)0.3 (1.3)
Less: Non-cash pension settlement charges (income)0.1 — 8.8 (0.1)
Plus: Depreciation and amortization expense37.2 37.7 148.0 153.5 
EBITDA$78.8 $68.5 $269.9 $225.9 
Plus: Restructuring charges1.8 3.8 5.9 9.9 
Plus: Acquisition and integration related costs2.9 3.5 9.1 17.0 
Plus: Non-cash asset impairment charges5.0 0.1 5.0 12.5 
Plus: Non-cash pension settlement charges (income)0.1 — 8.8 (0.1)
Plus: Incremental COVID-19 costs, net
0.2 0.6 1.5 1.9 
Plus: (Gain) loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment, and businesses, net(1.1)0.9 1.8 39.3 
Adjusted EBITDA$87.7 $77.4 $302.0 $306.4 
Land Management
Operating profit$1.8 $2.2 $104.0 $8.5 
Plus: Depreciation, depletion and amortization expense0.7 1.4 3.3 4.5 
EBITDA$2.5 $3.6 $107.3 $13.0 
Plus: Restructuring charges— — 0.1 — 
Plus: Non-cash asset impairment charges1.2 — 1.2 — 
Plus: Gain on disposal of properties, plants, equipment, and businesses, net(1.5)(0.6)(4.0)(1.1)
Less: Timberland gains, net— — 95.7 — 
Adjusted EBITDA$2.2 $3.0 $8.9 $11.9 
Consolidated EBITDA$198.1 $152.6 $809.9 $545.9 
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA$211.3 $154.4 $764.2 $642.6 
(13)Adjusted EBITDA is defined as net income, plus interest expense, net, plus income tax expense, plus depreciation, depletion and amortization expense, plus restructuring charges, plus acquisition and integration related costs, plus non-cash impairment charges, plus non-cash pension settlement charges, plus incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus (gain) loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net, less timberland gains, net. However, because the Company does not calculate net income by segment, this table calculates adjusted EBITDA by segment with reference to operating profit by segment, which, as demonstrated in the table of consolidated adjusted EBITDA, is another method to achieve the same result.
12

Exhibit 99.1

GREIF, INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATION
ADJUSTED FREE CASH FLOW(14)
UNAUDITED
Three Months Ended
October 31,
Twelve Months Ended
October 31,
(in millions)2021202020212020
Net cash provided by operating activities$137.3 $200.4 $396.0 $454.7 
Cash paid for purchases of properties, plants and equipment(46.5)(32.6)(140.7)(131.4)
Free Cash Flow$90.8 $167.8 $255.3 $323.3 
Cash paid for acquisition and integration related costs2.9 3.5 9.1 17.0 
Cash paid for incremental COVID-19 costs, net0.7 0.7 3.3 2.6 
Cash paid for acquisition and integration related ERP systems0.4 1.9 6.4 3.3 
Adjusted Free Cash Flow$94.8 $173.9 $274.1 $346.2 
(14)Adjusted free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities, less cash paid for purchases of properties, plants and equipment, plus cash paid for acquisition and integration related costs, plus cash paid for incremental COVID-19 costs, net, plus cash paid for acquisition and integration related ERP systems.
















13

Exhibit 99.1

GREIF, INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATION
NET INCOME, CLASS A EARNINGS PER SHARE, AND TAX RATE BEFORE ADJUSTMENTS
UNAUDITED
(in millions, except for per share amounts)Income before Income Tax Expense and Equity Earnings of Unconsolidated Affiliates, netIncome Tax (Benefit) ExpenseEquity EarningsNoncontrolling InterestNet Income Attributable to Greif, Inc.Diluted Class A Earnings Per ShareTax Rate
Three Months Ended October 31, 2021$121.9 $13.1 $(1.1)$5.4 $104.5 $1.74 10.7 %
Restructuring charges4.3 0.7 — — 3.6 0.07 
Acquisition and integration related costs2.9 0.7 — — 2.2 0.04 
Non-cash asset impairment charges7.4 1.1 — — 6.3 0.10 
Non-cash pension settlement charges0.1 — — — 0.1 — 
Incremental COVID-19 costs, net0.7 0.3 — — 0.4 0.01 
Gain on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net(2.2)(0.6)— 0.1 (1.7)(0.03)
Excluding Adjustments$135.1 $15.3 $(1.1)$5.5 $115.4 $1.93 11.3 %
Three Months Ended October 31, 2020$66.2 $18.5 $(0.3)$3.6 $44.4 $0.74 27.9 %
Restructuring charges11.9 2.9 — 0.6 8.4 0.14 
Acquisition and integration related costs3.5 0.9 — — 2.6 0.05 
Non-cash asset impairment charges1.6 0.4 — — 1.2 0.02 
Non-cash pension settlement charges0.4 — — — 0.4 0.01 
Incremental COVID-19 costs, net0.7 0.3 — — 0.4 0.01 
Gain on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net(16.2)(5.2)— — (11.0)(0.19)
Excluding Adjustments$68.1 $17.8 $(0.3)$4.2 $46.4 $0.78 26.1 %
Twelve Months Ended October 31, 2021$478.6 $69.6 $(4.2)$22.5 $390.7 $6.54 14.5 %
Restructuring charges23.1 5.2 — 1.3 16.6 0.26 
Acquisition and integration related costs9.1 2.2 — — 6.9 0.12 
Non-cash asset impairment charges8.9 1.6 — 0.1 7.2 0.12 
Non-cash pension settlement charges9.1 2.1 — — 7.0 0.12 
Incremental COVID-19 costs, net3.3 0.9 — 0.3 2.1 0.04 
Gain on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net(3.5)(0.3)— 0.1 (3.3)(0.06)
Timberland gains, net(95.7)(3.0)— — (92.7)(1.54)
Excluding Adjustments$432.9 $78.3 $(4.2)$24.3 $334.5 $5.60 18.1 %
Twelve Months Ended October 31, 2020$186.1 $63.3 $(1.5)$15.5 $108.8 $1.83 34.0 %
Restructuring charges38.7 9.0 — 1.0 28.7 0.48 
Acquisition and integration related costs17.0 4.1 — — 12.9 0.22 
Non-cash asset impairment charges18.5 3.9 — — 14.6 0.25 
Non-cash pension settlement charges0.3 — — — 0.3 0.01 
Incremental COVID-19 costs, net2.6 0.7 — — 1.9 0.03 
Loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment and businesses, net19.6 (4.7)— 0.6 23.7 0.40 
Excluding Adjustments$282.8 $76.3 $(1.5)$17.1 $190.9 $3.22 27.0 %
The impact of income tax expense and noncontrolling interest on each adjustment is calculated based on tax rates and ownership percentages specific to each applicable entity.
14

Exhibit 99.1

GREIF, INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATION
NET SALES TO NET SALES EXCLUDING THE IMPACT OF
CURRENCY TRANSLATION
UNAUDITED
 Three Months Ended
October 31,
  
(in millions)20212020Increase (Decrease) in
Net Sales ($)
Increase (Decrease) in
Net Sales (%)
Consolidated
Net Sales$1,578.2 $1,161.3 $416.9 35.9 %
Currency Translation7.7 N/A
Net Sales Excluding the Impact of Currency Translation$1,570.5 $1,161.3 $409.2 35.2 %
Global Industrial Packaging
Net Sales$951.6 $652.3 $299.3 45.9 %
Currency Translation7.3 N/A
Net Sales Excluding the Impact of Currency Translation$944.3 $652.3 $292.0 44.8 %
Paper Packaging & Services
Net Sales$621.7 $502.3 $119.4 23.8 %
Currency Translation0.4 N/A
Net Sales Excluding the Impact of Currency Translation$621.3 $502.3 $119.0 23.7 %

 Twelve Months Ended
October 31,
  
(in millions)20212020Increase in
Net Sales ($)
Increase in
Net Sales (%)
Consolidated
Net Sales$5,556.1 $4,515.0 $1,041.1 23.1 %
Currency Translation82.7 N/A
Net Sales Excluding the Impact of Currency Translation$5,473.4 $4,515.0 $958.4 21.2 %
Global Industrial Packaging
Net Sales$3,316.7 $2,571.8 $744.9 29.0 %
Currency Translation80.3 N/A
Net Sales Excluding the Impact of Currency Translation$3,236.4 $2,571.8 $664.6 25.8 %
Paper Packaging & Services
Net Sales$2,218.4 $1,916.9 $301.5 15.7 %
Currency Translation2.4 N/A
Net Sales Excluding the Impact of Currency Translation$2,216.0 $1,916.9 $299.1 15.6 %















15

Exhibit 99.1


GREIF INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATION
NET DEBT
UNAUDITED

(in millions)October 31, 2021July 31, 2021October 31, 2020
Total Debt$2,225.6 $2,267.6 $2,487.0 
Cash and cash equivalents(124.6)(99.8)(105.9)
Net Debt$2,101.0 $2,167.8 $2,381.1 



GREIF, INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATION
LEVERAGE RATIO
UNAUDITED

Trailing Twelve Month Credit Agreement EBITDA
(in millions)
Trailing Twelve Months Ended 10/31/2021Trailing Twelve Months Ended 10/31/2020
Net income$413.2 $124.3 
Plus: Interest expense, net92.7 115.8 
Plus: Income tax expense69.6 63.3 
Plus: Depreciation, depletion and amortization expense234.4 242.5 
EBITDA$809.9 $545.9 
Plus: Restructuring charges23.1 38.7 
Plus: Acquisition and integration related costs9.1 17.0 
Plus: Non-cash asset impairment charges8.9 18.5 
Plus: Non-cash pension settlement charges9.1 0.3 
Plus: Incremental COVID-19 costs, net3.3 2.6 
Plus: (Gain) loss on disposal of properties, plants, equipment, and businesses, net(3.5)19.6 
Less: Timberland gains, net95.7 — 
Adjusted EBITDA$764.2 $642.6 
Credit Agreement adjustments to EBITDA(15)
33.6 (4.3)
Credit Agreement EBITDA$797.8 $638.3 
Adjusted Net Debt
(in millions)
For the Period Ended 10/31/2021For the Period Ended 10/31/2020
Total debt$2,225.6 $2,487.0 
Cash and cash equivalents(124.6)(105.9)
Net debt$2,101.0 $2,381.1 
Credit Agreement adjustments to debt(16)
(115.9)(47.3)
Adjusted net debt$1,985.1 $2,333.8 
Leverage Ratio2.49x3.66x


(15)Adjustments to EBITDA are specified by the 2019 Credit Agreement and include certain timberland gains, equity earnings of unconsolidated affiliates, net of tax, certain acquisition savings, deferred financing costs, capitalized interest, and other items.

(16)Adjustments to net debt are specified by the 2019 Credit Agreement and include the European accounts receivable program, letters of credit, deferred financing costs, and derivative balances.
16

Exhibit 99.1

GREIF, INC. AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
PROJECTED 2022 GUIDANCE RECONCILIATION
ADJUSTED FREE CASH FLOW
UNAUDITED
Fiscal 2022 Guidance Range
(in millions)Scenario 1Scenario 2
Net cash provided by operating activities$536.0 $612.0 
Cash paid for purchases of properties, plants and equipment(150.0)(170.0)
Free cash flow $386.0 $442.0 
Cash paid for acquisition and integration related costs10.0 12.0 
Cash paid for acquisition and integration related ERP systems4.0 6.0 
Adjusted free cash flow$400.0 $460.0 


17
Document
Exhibit 99.2


Greif, Inc.
Fourth Quarter 2021 Earnings Results Conference Call
December 9, 2021

CORPORATE PARTICIPANTS

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Greif, Inc. - Executive VP & CFO

Matt Eichmann Greif, Inc. - VP of Investor Relations, External Relations & Sustainability

Ole G. Rosgaard Greif, Inc. - Chief Operating Officer

Peter G. Watson Greif, Inc. - President, CEO & Director

CONFERENCE CALL PARTICIPANTS

Adam Jesse Josephson KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Gabrial Shane Hajde Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

George Leon Staphos BofA Securities, Research Division

Justin Laurence Bergner Gabelli Funds, LLC

Matthew T. Krueger Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division

PRESENTATION

Operator

Good morning. My name is Chris, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the Greif Q4 2021 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers remarks there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time simply press *1 on your telephone keypad and to withdraw your question please press *1 again. Thank you. Matt Eichmann, you may begin.

Matt Eichmann Vice President of Investor Relations, External Relations & Sustainability

Thanks, Chris, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Greif's Fourth Quarter and Fiscal '21 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Matt Eichmann. I'm joined by Pete Watson, Greif's President and Chief Executive Officer; Larry Hilsheimer, Greif's Chief Financial Officer; and Ole Rosgaard, Greif's Chief Operating Officer. We will take questions at the end of today's call.

In accordance with regulation fair disclosure, please ask questions regarding issues you consider important because we're prohibited from discussing material nonpublic information with you on an individual basis. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up question before returning to the queue. Please turn to Slide 2.

As a reminder, during today's call, we will make forward-looking statements involving plans, expectations and beliefs related to future events. Actual results could differ materially from those discussed. Additionally, we'll be referencing certain non-GAAP financial measures, and reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP metrics can be found in the appendix of today's presentation.

And now I turn the presentation over to Pete on Slide 3.

Peter G. Watson President, CEO & Director

Thank you, Matt, and good morning, everyone. As always, we appreciate your interest in Greif.

I want to start by recognizing and thanking the global Greif team for outstanding achievement this past year. The team delivered excellent results despite a challenging operating environment that was complicated by the pandemic, supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures beyond our control.


Exhibit 99.2


Fiscal 2021 was an exceptional year with record financial results. We significantly delevered our balance sheet, improved our shareholder returns, achieved top decile colleague engagement and were recognized as a leading workplace in the United States. Looking ahead, these accomplishments have us positioned for an even stronger future as our fiscal 2022 guidance points to performance in line with the commitments we established in 2019.

Finally, this past year, we made meaningful enhancements to our already strong sustainability performance and embedded ESG deeper into our business strategies.

I'd like to ask Ole Rosgaard, our Chief Operating Officer, to make a few comments regarding ESG that's on Slide 4.

Ole G. Rosgaard Chief Operating Officer

Thank you, Pete, and good day, everyone. I hope you and your families are well.

In my mind, sustainability is not an afterthought or corporate function. Rather, it's a leadership focus that creates business value by reducing risk and costs and bringing new market opportunities to grow.

We achieved several notable ESG accomplishments in 2021. For example, we diverted a minimum of 90% of waste from landfills at more than 140 of our global facilities, increasing our global diversion rate to roughly 85% from about 70% last year. Even more impressive, at year-end, 50 of our global facilities had achieved zero waste to landfill status.

We launched our fourth colleague resource group to provide professional development opportunities and further foster a more representative and inclusive culture across Greif. And finally, we linked ESG KPIs to the Greif Business System, improving our performance management capability to further drive this critical work.

The takeaway here is that Greif's strong ESG focus is core to our plans for sustainable value creation. I look forward to sharing additional highlights with you in the future.

And now back over to Pete to discuss our business results on Slide 5.

Peter G. Watson President, CEO & Director

Thank you, Ole. The Global Industrial Packaging business delivered an outstanding fourth quarter result. Our overall global primary product line was strong and benefited sales by almost 3% versus the prior year.

Fourth quarter global large plastic drums and Intermediate Bulk Container volumes grew by more than 18% and 10%, respectively, per day versus the prior year and benefited from the strategic growth investments in the U.S. and EMEA and ongoing recovery in our industrial end markets.

Global steel drum volume fell by 1.5% per day versus the prior year. The biggest shortfall was in APAC, reflective of our decision to implement strategic pricing actions and supply chain disruptions that negatively impacted our customers' operations. Fourth quarter global steel drum volume was also impacted by performance in EMEA where volumes were steady through most of the quarter but did slow in October as customers in this region faced their own set of supply chain disruptions. The Americas region recorded strong mid-single-digit growth during the quarter.

Generally speaking, our industrial end markets remain healthy. Customers report solid order backlogs and strong underlying demand, but they do face external supply chain disruptions.

Across GIP, we see little indication of customers building inventory but some are carrying more stock than normal due to supply chain disruptions impacting their ability to ship to their customers. GIP's generally stronger volumes and higher average selling prices resulted in significantly higher segment sales and gross profit year-over-year. GIP's fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA rose by roughly $47 million due to higher sales partially offset by higher raw material, manufacturing and transportation costs. The business also benefited from a $3 million FX tailwind.

Looking ahead, we expect GIP's fiscal 2022 profits to be lower year-over-year. While we do anticipate volume growth, contribution from new CapEx projects and beneficial efficiency gains, profits will be lower as the unprecedented run-up in steel costs provided a roughly $100 million tailwind in GIP's fiscal 2021 results that will not recur. We anticipate GIP's normal profit cadence through the year to persist.

I'd like to please turn to Slide 6. Paper Packaging's fourth quarter sales rose by roughly $120 million versus the prior year due to stronger volumes and higher published containerboard and boxboard prices. Adjusted EBITDA rose by roughly $10 million versus the prior year due to higher sales that were substantially offset by higher raw material, manufacturing and transportation


Exhibit 99.2

costs, including a significant $50 million -- $51 million drag from higher OCC index cost and an $8 million natural gas cost spike not contemplated in our guidance. The business benefited from a $4 million legal settlement tailwind reported in SG&A that will not recur.

Volume demand across our paper business remains strong, and our combined mill backlogs exceed 8 weeks. Fourth quarter volumes in our CorrChoice sheet feeder system were up 2.4% per day versus the prior year. Demand for durables, e-commerce growth and the OEMs' auto supply chain all remain very solid, and we see no slowdown on the horizon.

Fourth quarter tube and core volumes were up 7% per day versus the prior year. Demand was strong in most key end markets, including film, paper cores, textiles and protective packaging.

Looking ahead into fiscal 2022, we expect significantly higher profits in Paper Packaging due to strong demand and continued flow-through of published price increases.

I'd like to now turn it over to Larry Hilsheimer, our CFO, on Slide 7.

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

Thank you, Pete. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today.

Big picture, our team delivered excellent fourth quarter results despite significant external challenges. Fourth quarter net sales, excluding the impact of foreign exchange, rose 35% versus the prior year quarter due to stronger volumes and higher selling prices.

Adjusted EBITDA rose by $57 million, including a $7 million combined tailwind from FX and a onetime legal settlement. Keep in mind, our adjusted EBITDA result overcame an OCC index headwind of $51 million and roughly $40 million of nonvolume-related transportation and manufacturing inflation, including an $8 million unforecasted natural gas cost spike. Interest expense fell by $9 million versus the prior year quarter due to lower debt balances. We also benefited by reaching a lower interest rate tier in our credit facility as a result of our substantial debt repayment.

Our fourth quarter GAAP and non-GAAP tax rate were both roughly 11%.

Fourth quarter adjusted Class A earnings per share more than doubled to $1.93 a share. For fiscal '21, we delivered adjusted Class A earnings per share of $5.60 a share, a 74% improvement versus the prior year and a significant beat relative to our Q3 guidance. Part of the earnings improvement came from a lower-than-anticipated non-GAAP tax rate of 18.1%, which benefited from reserve releases due to audit settlements and statute of limitation expirations. We estimate the lower tax rate relative to guidance we shared at $0.15 to fiscal '21 results. The lion's share of our year-over-year earnings improvement came from disciplined operational execution.

Fourth quarter adjusted free cash flow fell roughly $79 million versus the prior year. While profit improved significantly, CapEx rose and working capital dragged on cash flow primarily due to higher raw material costs than we anticipated in our forecast. Working capital was also negatively impacted by lower-than-anticipated October volumes outside the U.S. where customers struggled with external challenges and ordered fewer drums.

That said, our team is controlling what it can with strong results and trailing 12-month average working capital as a percentage of sales improved by a significant 140 basis points year-over-year to 10.8%. Please turn to Slide 8. Our core capital priorities are clear and consistent, reinvesting the business as needed to create value and support growth, return excess cash to shareholders via an attractive and growing dividend and delever our balance sheet and maintain a compliance leverage ratio between 2 to 2.5 turns.

Our balance sheet is in great shape. Thanks to aggressive deleveraging, we have repaid $261 million in total debt since Q4 '20 and returned to our targeted compliance leverage ratio faster than originally contemplated. We anticipate spending between $150 million and $170 million in capital expenditures in fiscal '22 and target growing our dividend in '22, as mentioned in previous calls.

We are in the midst of our strategic planning process to determine the focus and extent of growth activities going forward to prudently leverage our strong balance sheet for the benefit of our shareholders.

Please turn to Slide 9. We are pleased to introduce fiscal '22 guidance that delivers on the commitments we made more than 2 years ago. Our guidance reflects the considerable improvement we've made in the base business over the last several years, including the successful Caraustar integration and synergy capture and demonstrates Greif's resilience in overcoming the unforeseen and considerable external challenges presented by COVID and dramatic inflationary headwinds well beyond our control.


Exhibit 99.2


At the midpoint, we anticipate generating $6.15 of adjusted Class A earnings per share in '22. Overall, we expect lower profits in GIP in fiscal '22 to be more than offset by higher profitability in PPS, highlighting once again the benefit of our diversified portfolio. Interest expense will be significantly lower in fiscal '22 as a result of our aggressive deleveraging, and we expect it to evolve further when we move to refinance our 6.5% 2027 senior notes sometime in the first half of calendar '22. We anticipate '22 adjusted free cash flow between $400 million and $460 million.

In addition to increased capital expenditures, we anticipate significantly higher cash tax in fiscal '21 mainly due to additional pretax income. We anticipate working capital will revert to a cash source. It was a $222 million use in '21 as raw material cost inflation accelerated.

Now a few reflective comments for your consideration. From my perspective, the Greif of today is a far different company than the Greif of 6 years ago. Our margin profile has stabilized and grown. Profits have increased significantly, and our transparency and communication has improved and been applauded. Our capital allocation strategy has been steady, disciplined and predictable. We have delivered on what we promised, and we continue to drive even greater value for our shareholders. Despite these improvements, we continue to trade at a discount to our historical metrics in the broader market. As an example, assuming a historic free cash yield of 11% and the midpoint of our '22 free cash flow guide would imply a combined market cap of roughly $3.9 billion or an increase of roughly 30%. So while we don't get to vote when it comes to our valuation, our opinion is that we deserve a closer look given the discount present in our stock today.

Now I'm going to take a minute and go off script. As most of you know -- if not all of you are aware, today is Pete Watson's last earnings call. It would just seem inappropriate to not pause and acknowledge the great leadership Pete has provided our colleagues at Greif. Pete embodies servant leadership and has a personal connection with many of Greif's colleagues that developed through personal contact. He's a humble and respected leader who leans on his athletic coaching background for the skills in building a cohesive team.

As he took leadership of Greif, many things were broken. Since taking the helm in November of 2015, the results have been extraordinary. In safety steady improvement, in colleague engagement, we improved dramatically to be a top decile in Gallup's industrial sector. Those engaged colleagues have delivered outstanding customer service and driven incredible improvement in doubling our NPS scores over that period.

That focus on the virtuous service profit chain has led to financial improvement that has been exceptional. From 2015 to '21, OPBSI and EBITDA have essentially doubled. Adjusted EPS has gone from $2.18 to $5.60 with no stock repurchases and adjusted free cash flow, which was $70 million in 2015, has averaged nearly [$300 million] (corrected by the Company after the call) in the last 3 years and will exceed $400 million in '22. Pete has worked diligently to assure the succession plan left Greif in good leadership and going forward to secure his legacy as an outstanding leader. Pete, on behalf of all our colleagues, thank you for your leadership.

Peter G. Watson President, CEO & Director

Well, Larry, thank you very much. You certainly did go off-script but much appreciated. So with that, if you could turn to Slide 10 -- and again, Larry, I appreciate your comments and thoughts. You're a good man.

As Larry talked about today, it's my final earnings call as President and Chief Executive Officer of Greif. It's a great company. It's been my distinct honor to serve our global Greif team. And I'm extremely proud, as Larry talked about, of what we've all accomplished together over the last 6 years. I'm incredibly grateful to all our colleagues for their passion and dedication to excellence and also for their commitment to our team and our customers.

And while fiscal 2021 is a record year for our company, I'm even more excited for what lies ahead. We are well positioned to benefit from ongoing strength and improving trends in our key end markets. But our extensive global portfolio, our differentiated service capability and our sharp focus on operational execution allows us best serve our customers' needs and generate significant shareholder value.

I, along with the rest of the Board, am confident in Ole Rosgaard's ability to lead Greif going forward. His operational background, strategic mindset and passion for team building and serving customers will be advantageous to Greif's future. I look forward to the company thriving under his leadership. It has certainly been a pleasure to work with all of you, and we certainly appreciate your interest in Greif. Chris, if you could please open the line for questions.

QUESTION AND ANSWER

Operator



Exhibit 99.2

And just as a reminder if you would like to ask a question please press *1 on your telephone keypad. Our first question is with George Staphos with Bank of America.

George Leon Staphos BofA Securities, Research Division

I'm sure everyone is going to say this as well, Pete, but you and your team have done a remarkable job by several fold in terms of turning around Greif. So you have much to be proud of, and we wish you and Ole best with the next chapters.

I guess from that, I would say, could you talk a little bit about what was embedded in that comment that you see little signs of inventory building by customers but that stocks were higher in Industrial? What was -- what are you saying that we should be mindful of? And if you could talk about it relative to geography.

And my second question, not that it would be surprising. We've obviously been reading a lot about what's been happening in Asia. But it seems like last time we saw a bit of price competition in Asia Pac, that was a bellwether. Now again, there's some obvious idiosyncratic things going on in Asia right now, which maybe makes this a one-off. But tell us why we shouldn't worry about what this means looking out the next year or so.

Peter G. Watson President, CEO & Director

Sure. Well, thanks for your comments, George. Very much appreciated.

Make a few comments. First, I'll talk about APAC, then I'll ask Ole to comment on customers and inventories. In APAC, a couple of components. We have been strategically fixing some price margin components of that business. So we have, from pricing decisions and margins decisions, made some stands and lost some volume there. There's also been some pretty significant supply chain disruptions, as you referenced. One of those being some of the national power challenges they've had and we've had to operate at off-peak hours but it has also interrupted some of our customers' operations and demand. And there's also -- it's not as vibrant as it's been. But at this point, we don't see that as any trend that makes us fearful that it's a reverse of what we saw in the last year.

So Ole, if you could comment on George's question on the inventory.

Ole G. Rosgaard Chief Operating Officer

Yes. Hi, George. On stock, we -- primarily in Europe. Obviously, I speak to a lot of customers, and we have not seen any customers doing stock building. As you know, our customers are telling us that their order books are solid. But due to the supply chain issues, they simply can't fulfill their order books, which has a knock-on effect. But what they're doing with their stocks is they just stop adjusting their stock levels accordingly. So there's no stock building or destocking really taking place.

George Leon Staphos BofA Securities, Research Division

Okay. So what you're saying is their inventory velocity is appropriate given what they're seeing in terms of supply chain but you're not seeing a degradation and build-up beyond that. Is that fair?

Ole G. Rosgaard Chief Operating Officer

Yes. Correct. That's correct.

Operator

Our next question is from Ghansham Panjabi with Baird your line is open.

Matthew T. Krueger Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division

This is actually Matt Krueger sitting in for Ghansham. And I just want to extend my congratulations to Pete as well. It's obviously been terrific working with you, and we'll look forward to continuing that sentiment with Ole.

Peter G. Watson President, CEO & Director

Well, thank you, Matt. I appreciate it very much.

Matthew T. Krueger Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division



Exhibit 99.2

Absolutely. I was hoping that we could talk a bit about some of the embedded assumptions for next year on a segment basis. So can you maybe talk about what your embedded volume growth assumptions are for each of the segments in just a little more detail and then maybe provide some detail on what sort of underlying macroeconomic outlook you're projecting for each of your major geographies heading into next year?

Peter G. Watson President, CEO & Director

Yes. So from volume assumptions for the 2 main segments. In GIP, we're talking about global steel drum volume, low single digits on a global basis. And then the IBC business, we're projecting high to mid teens, and that's really reflective of the continued strategic investments we've been making in this business. On the PPS side, our corrugated sheets, we're embedding in our guidance of low single digits, and we've been growing significantly more than that this year but that's because the comps become tougher. The new plant in Pennsylvania is up and running, and so that's more reflective of what we'll see in market growth. And then in our tube and core business, we're seeing low single-digit growth as well, and that's embedded in our guidance going forward.

And I'll ask Larry to make some comments on our budget and guidance as it reflects to a broader market, and Ole can comment as well.

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

Yes. Matt, from a broad perspective, we've obviously watched the various economic forecasters. And as you've probably noticed, a lot of them are trending down. Goldman Sachs has called down their 4Q and then their '22 and similar things going on and others.

However, they remain positive. And our commitments, our guidance for next year aligns to those. Strongest, U.S., for sure. EMEA, good but not as strong as the U.S. APAC, recovering. I mean, even as deflated as it is, it continues to be one of the more strongly growing economies in the world in China. Southeast Asia, a little bit weaker. Latin America, sort of -- more like EMEA.

So those are the broad responses. If you have any more follow-up, I'm happy to address.

Matthew T. Krueger Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division

No, no, no. That's great on the volume side. I'd be stretching it otherwise. So I'll hop back in the queue.

Operator

Again as a reminder *1 to ask a question. Our next question is from Gabe Hajde with Wells Fargo.

Gabrial Shane Hajde Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

First off, Pete, congratulations. I do think that your servant leadership is very clear across the organization culturally. So congrats, and Ole, welcome. I look forward to working with you. And I also apologize if there's some background noise here. First question I wanted to go at was paper volumes were a little bit weaker in Q4 but I think you mentioned tube and core, up 7%, and converted sheet, up 2.4%. So I'm just curious about that maybe outside sales of paper were a little bit lower, if there is a source for that weakness? Or if I'm not interpreting kind of what we heard correctly.

Peter G. Watson President, CEO & Director

Yes. Gabe, thanks again for the comments, and we appreciate working with you.

Yes, we view the paper business as having strong demand and volume. And when you look at the corrugated industry stats, we're significantly ahead of that. We had good shipments at 2.4%. We had -- our inventories actually went down in that business. And you got to remember, there's -- the underlying demand is still really healthy. There's been a lot of supply chain disruptions that's prevented our customers from growing. So I think that side is really healthy right now.

And our tube and core business has continued to grow mid to high single digits for the last year. They, again, grew by 7%. I think the other issue is we're really implementing price increases and starting to gain traction there. So we actually saw it as a really positive quarter and then improving in their step change on what we've targeted for their profits for next year.

So other than some of the supply chain disruptions that have constrained some of the customer demand, I think they had a really strong quarter.



Exhibit 99.2

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

Yes, Gabe, I'll supplement it. Just to add some color, our teams, our finance team is working with our commercial teams, calculated that the negative impact to us in PPS of supply chain limits caused by our customers not being able to ship to their customers was $3 million in PPS and $5 million in GIP for the quarter.

Gabrial Shane Hajde Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

The last one, and I appreciate, obviously, that the -- I'll call it, the steel, favorable steel impact is a pretty big number year-on-year. But can you talk about pricing for some nonmaterial items? And I'm more specifically thinking about EMEA and the GIP business. How frequent openers you guys have? I mean, you guys have done a phenomenal job this year out there recovering inflation. But just, again, we're seeing energy inflation. We're seeing labor inflation, et cetera, how that -- how you kind of expect that business to evolve over the next 12 months.

Peter G. Watson President, CEO & Director

Yes. And I'll actually ask Ole to comment about that because he's front and center with our teams on it. But you're right. Our teams have done an incredible job of staying ahead of inflation. We've been beating that drum. And transportation and energy are huge along with labor right now. So Ole, do you want to comment on the frequency that we are at?

Ole G. Rosgaard Chief Operating Officer

Yes. So most of our steel has, as you know, they're just every 3 months, Gabe. If you go way back in the past, we didn't have annual openers in our contracts, and that's something we have introduced. We tend to do 1 a year, but because of the volatility of the markets, we've been doing several a year lately, and we will continue to do that as we are faced with increased labor costs and other non raw material costs.

Operator

Our next question is from Adam Josephson with KeyBanc your line is open.

Adam Jesse Josephson KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Pete, congratulations on and all the best to you in your retirement, and Ole, all the best to you in your new role.

Peter G. Watson President, CEO & Director

Thank you, Adam. I appreciate it very much.

Ole G. Rosgaard Chief Operating Officer

Thank you.

Adam Jesse Josephson KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Pete or Larry, the steel benefit that you mentioned earlier, the $100 million, can you just help -- I have a couple of guidance questions obviously. The -- are you expecting in '22 that, that $100 million will just go away or that there'll actually be a drag such that the year-over-year delta will be in excess of that? Can you just help me with what is embedded in your '22 guidance with respect to the steel issue in GIP?

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

Sure. So the -- as you know, the $100 million just evolved over the cost acceleration and the lag from deliveries. Our forecast for -- and guidance for '22 embeds a pretty stable steel cost environment. We've built into our budget slight decreases in steel cost in EMEA and in North America but nothing dramatic. So the risk factor would be if steel cost would deflate aggressively. We don't see that. It's not aligned to the economic forecast of most economists.

We've had strong steel demand despite low production in cars. If the chip shortage even starts to come back, that's going to shift. And while we don't expect dramatic impact from the infrastructure bill in the U.S. necessarily in '22, we do expect some. So our assumption is that steel, which is the big driver of this, is that it will stay relatively stable, some decrease, but nothing rapid that we can't manage through our normal processes.

Adam Jesse Josephson KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division


Exhibit 99.2


In other words, you're not expecting a steel-related drag on EBITDA next year. Is that a fair assumption?

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

Yes, nothing significant. I mean there's a slight drag with the decrease just because you have higher cost inventory that you've got if it drops the index a little bit. We've built that in. It's already embedded. So it's a slight drag but not significant.

Adam Jesse Josephson KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Okay. I appreciate it. And then 2 other ones, if you don't mind. One on FX. What are you assuming in terms of FX translation? I think you had a $23-or-so-million benefit in GIP in '21 from the Turkish lira. Starting in '22 -- yes, go ahead.

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

We haven't built any assumed benefit in because we build our budget around the forward market on currency. So to the extent that it shifts -- and we hedge a good bit from a cash flow perspective. So we -- we're not like building in any benefit from currency, so to speak.

Adam Jesse Josephson KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

No. In other words, if you hold current rates constant through the balance of '22, would that imply a benefit or a drag in terms of over FX changes?

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

We don't budget it that way, Adam. We base it on the future prices. I mean -- and I don't know the answer to your question about what the year-over-year currency changes. I don't know, Matt, if we have that in place or not.

Matt Eichmann Vice President of Investor Relations, External Relations & Sustainability

I don't have it. No.

Adam Jesse Josephson KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Yes. Okay. Okay. And just on the guidance that you provided. Obviously, you've been giving -- you provided an EBITDA commitment 2.5 years ago and you've been talking about that EBITDA commitment ever since. And now you're...

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

The new EBITDA range, Adam, is $785 million to $835 million. It's down from where we were just because of all the inflationary costs in transportation and energy. And when you look at OCC, the assumption that we had in that original range, if you think about it, was $55 million. Now we're at $162 million, that's $185 million headwind that our teams have stayed ahead of.

Adam Jesse Josephson KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Right. So basically, you're thinking EBITDA will be up about $45 million year-on-year with PPS obviously up much more than that. And then obviously, GIP down, I would assume a considerable amount, just given the steel issue.

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

Yes. It won't be down $100 million because the teams continue to do well on all of their factors. But yes, it will be down significantly, and PPS will be up significantly.

Adam Jesse Josephson KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Yes. No, I appreciate it. And just one last one, Larry. In terms of the range, it's a wide range, obviously, the EPS guidance range. Can you just talk about what factors get you to the high end, low end and why such a wide range?

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO



Exhibit 99.2

Yes. It's a broad range just because of all the uncertainties in the market right now. It's about $0.10 wider than we would have had in what -- that we did have in '19. And it's just recognizing that there is possibility that you could have inflation, deflation, and OCC is such a wildcard that we just don't know a range around it. I mean, I can venture to say that nobody on this call, including all of you smart guys out there, had any idea where OCC was going this year.

Adam Jesse Josephson KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

That is absolutely true.

Operator

Our next question is from Justin Bergner with Gabelli Funds.

Justin Laurence Bergner Gabelli Funds, LLC

Ole, welcome on board, and thank you, Pete, for a great number of years of service, and all the best on your next steps.

Peter G. Watson President, CEO & Director

Thank you, Justin. Appreciate it very much.

Justin Laurence Bergner Gabelli Funds, LLC

So in terms of questions, just to clarify one question from earlier. I mean, if the steel prices go down quicker than you're forecasting in your model, the drag is a temporary one. I mean, that would subside once the steel price is sort of steady at a new level, correct? There's nothing ongoing.

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

Yes, yes. To the degree, Justin, the real issue is velocity of change and timing. Because of the price adjustment mechanisms in the contract, if you have a slow slope up or down, it really has minimal impact and you work through that. But if you have dramatic declines and they have at the time, let's -- for example, let's say that the last week of December, steel dropped inexplicably by $200 a ton. That would not be a good thing because a lot of index contracts change based on the end of quarter number and they change as of the first of the month, many of them, and you'd be stuck with higher cost inventory. We don't see that environment. But -- so it's all velocity and timing.

Justin Laurence Bergner Gabelli Funds, LLC

Got it. One more clarifying question as well. The $8 million natural gas headwind, were you trying to suggest it was more of a onetime headwind? Or is that sort of an ongoing -- I guess, the headwind with higher level of natural gas prices.

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

It was a headwind relative to the fact that natural gas spiked up dramatically from the time we did our forecast in July to what it ended up being in September in that quarter. So it was that headwind.

Where do natural gas markets go? I mean there's a lot of speculation on that across the globe and a lot of it is dependent on the winter. So to answer it, to say it's a onetime thing, I think, would be inappropriate. I think it's more of an item that is going to be dependent just on supply and demand and weather.

Justin Laurence Bergner Gabelli Funds, LLC

Okay. Understood. And then lastly, on capital allocation. I realize there's a CEO transition. But at least for the 2022 fiscal year, is the priority sort of remaining in the deleveraging camp?

And then on a related note, sort of is the $150 million to $170 million of CapEx that you're guiding for this year, does that represent a semi-normal level of CapEx as you see your business looking forward out over the next few years?

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

Yes. Just 2 things. One, the answer to your first question, our priorities will remain the same. We will be very disciplined to make sure we're spending the appropriate amount on maintenance capital and safety, deleveraging and align to our priorities, focus on expanding our presence in plastics, particularly IBCs and on integration in our paper business. Nothing has changed


Exhibit 99.2

there. And we -- like I said, we'll be in our strategic planning process in terms of what do we focus next on from a broader growth perspective.

But with respect to $150 million to $175 million or $170 million being normal. Look, that's what we believe we wanted to be normal for the last 4, 5 years. Unfortunately, supply chain issues have really impacted the ability to spend at that level. It's not been a capital issue for us nor a human capital issue. It's getting the machines that are ordered delivered.

So our -- we believe we have line of sight to spending that this year in '22. And we would do so if we're able to get that delivered, and we believe we will. That's the spend that I would say would be our normalized level currently if we can get the equipment delivered.

Operator

The next question is from George Staphos with Bank of America.

George Leon Staphos BofA Securities, Research Division

I just wanted to come back on one thing. So tax aside, your earnings in GIP, in particular, implicitly were better than expected. And so when you look back at fiscal fourth quarter, what was the key factor in terms of the surprise on the guidance, which was very, very significant relative to where you were back in July even with some of the headwinds that you talked about here, including in nat gas?

And then my second question, just -- you gave us the outlook from a volume standpoint you're expecting across the businesses. Can you talk about what exit rates you're seeing right now on volume early in fiscal 1Q across the regions and/or the product lines?

Lawrence Allen Hilsheimer Executive VP & CFO

Yes. George, I'll answer the second first, which is November was very strong. We're very pleased with the start of the year. Early December looks good but it's early. And it's pretty consistent with what we spoke to in volumes in the third quarter. Margins are good still, and so a really great start to the year. It gives us encouragement about where we're headed and achieving our commitments.

As to the fourth quarter, the big driver was exactly the factor that caused our working capital to be higher. The maintenance of the high levels of inventory costs allowed the indexes to not change and the PAMs not to go down and our margin spread to maintain. And so that drove with a little bit of better volumes in -- particularly in August and September and strong in North America, in particular, is what drove the operational improvement. And a little bit of just higher pick-up sooner on pricing in paper than we had built into the forecast.

Operator

We have no further questions at this time. I'll turn the call over to Mr. Eichmann for any closing remarks.

Matt Eichmann Vice President of Investor Relations, External Relations & Sustainability

I think, Chris, George just popped back in, of Bank of America. He had his hand raised there.

Operator

He's dropped from the queue currently.

Matt Eichmann Vice President of Investor Relations, External Relations & Sustainability

Okay. Terrific. Well, thank you very much, everyone, for participating in our call today. We appreciate the time that you've spent with us. Look forward to talking again soon, and please have a very happy and safe holiday season ahead.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.